Friday, January 14, 2011

There's No Place Like Home ... Unless ..

....You were the home team last weekend .. four games, four road wins! 

Throughout the season I usually lead this with a congrats to the weekly winner but in the playoffs with so few games you won't get credit for winning a week here however it was amazing that only one player went undefeated this week, "JoeF". I'd thought I'd chalk that up to the Seattle effect and no one taking them but more people took Seattle (35) than took the Jets (31) and KC (26). 

The big congrats goes to "Angry Mike" who won the Survivor pool and has now joined elite company (me) as we are now the only two players to ever win the Survivor pool solely!   I'd like to point out that when I won it a few year's ago (under the name 22) I locked it up in week 13 but "Angry Mike" was equally impressive when you consider that not only did he win it he still had 2 of the 8 playoffs teams alive available to pick (NE and GB) so if he had to he could have made a pick this week.  Congrats young man and don't forget to claim your winnings with the IRS! 

The regular pool with seven games left only two money spots have been clinched, "Ghastly" is assured of at least a top 5 finish and "tabaccy" has clinched last place. Outside of that the rest of the top 15 is still in flux.   After this weekend things will settle down for sure and we will have a good idea of who will make up the top 10 spots at least.  The last money spot, 15th place  has 142 wins (Bolt Fever) but "Bolt" has a terrible tiebreaker score (15.2) so that spot is shaky at best. Especially with four players sitting behind him with 141 wins and all four have superior tiebreaker scores to "Bolt".  After that we have two players with 140 wins and five with 139 wins. Those five will need help, like go undefeated this week and hope the players above them go 0-4 or 1-3 to have a chance at a money spot.  Last week I boldly predicted that if a player was not in the top 26 they were SOL, well "JoeF" took it personal and went 4-0 and jumped 10 spots from 30th place to 20th place, he is one of the 140 win players alive. "JoeF" does have a shot at a money spot, he has a decent enough tiebreaker (12.7) and if he follows up last weeks 4-0 with a another 4-0 he could jump into the top 15.  A 10 spot jump is rare in the playoffs.

One money spot I have not mentioned all season because as I talked about a lot last season I hate is the "Middle Man Prize" basically it is like playing the lottery, there is no strategy involved. The dead middle is 62nd place this season. Basically you could go 4-0 and be screwed or go 0-4 and be OK. I fought to have that prize eliminated and use the prize money elsewhere but it fell on deaf ears.  With that said, if the season ended today the player in the 62nd spot is .. well .. me! Karma, maybe? I have no idea how to maintain that spot, do I try to lose? Do I try to win? Do I not make a pick?  I kind of wish I didn't look and see me in 62nd place, there are eight players with the same amount as wins as me (131) I just have the 62nd spot because my tiebreaker score is 4th best of those 8 players !!! Pray for me.

Seven games left this season ...

My weekend predictions to fill more space ... 

BAL 16
PIT 20


GB 21
ATL 20

SEA 17
CHI 27

NYJ 17
NE 38

Nomar Fact of the Week
Nomar's career playoff batting average is .321

No comments:

Post a Comment